Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000878 0.000915 0.000952 0.000992 0.001035 0.001079 0.001129
2025-10-19 0.000817 0.000870 0.000926 0.000990 0.001060 0.001135 0.001222
2025-10-26 0.000766 0.000830 0.000900 0.000981 0.001073 0.001176 0.001300
2025-11-02 0.000732 0.000805 0.000886 0.000983 0.001097 0.001226 0.001388
2025-11-09 0.000696 0.000775 0.000864 0.000972 0.001102 0.001255 0.001450
2025-11-16 0.000664 0.000748 0.000843 0.000961 0.001105 0.001278 0.001505
2025-11-23 0.000652 0.000741 0.000845 0.000976 0.001140 0.001341 0.001612
2025-11-30 0.000635 0.000728 0.000838 0.000979 0.001158 0.001383 0.001694
2025-12-07 0.000612 0.000707 0.000820 0.000967 0.001157 0.001399 0.001741
2025-12-14 0.000589 0.000685 0.000800 0.000951 0.001149 0.001406 0.001776
2025-12-21 0.000572 0.000669 0.000787 0.000944 0.001152 0.001425 0.001828
2025-12-28 0.000544 0.000639 0.000755 0.000910 0.001118 0.001394 0.001806
2026-01-04 0.000531 0.000627 0.000746 0.000907 0.001125 0.001420 0.001868
2026-01-11 0.000519 0.000616 0.000738 0.000904 0.001132 0.001445 0.001932
2026-01-18 0.000505 0.000603 0.000726 0.000896 0.001131 0.001460 0.001981
2026-01-25 0.000496 0.000596 0.000722 0.000897 0.001144 0.001495 0.002060
2026-02-01 0.000484 0.000583 0.000710 0.000888 0.001141 0.001505 0.002102
2026-02-08 0.000471 0.000570 0.000697 0.000878 0.001136 0.001512 0.002140
2026-02-15 0.000469 0.000571 0.000702 0.000891 0.001166 0.001573 0.002269
2026-02-22 0.000462 0.000565 0.000699 0.000894 0.001180 0.001610 0.002361
2026-03-01 0.000451 0.000554 0.000688 0.000883 0.001173 0.001614 0.002396
2026-03-08 0.000440 0.000541 0.000674 0.000869 0.001161 0.001609 0.002415
2026-03-15 0.000431 0.000532 0.000666 0.000863 0.001160 0.001622 0.002465